We’re done with Week 2 of the preseason and I see how much time has altered bookmakers’, players’ and oddsmakers’ way of approaching the numbers.
Nothing is 100 percent with early indicators. Just go back a couple of years when the Lions had a 4-0 preseason only to have the worst pro record since George Halas was a kid.
The Patriots have been steamrolling, even with Tom Brady playing limited minutes, and their regular season win total has picked up also. But they haven’t won the Big Game in quite a while and have had trouble getting out of the first round of the playoffs the last couple of years.
New England is on the fast track again to be one of the first teams circled on the time tested parlay cards that will be available. Then from an up team like the Patriots, we turn to the easiest team in years to “knock” – Cincinnati.
The Bengals have a multitude of problems and for the moment are a go-against team no matter what we post. The trend started early when season wins were posted and numbers were posted as high as 7½. The money has not stopped coming in where the Bengals are involved.
The Sunday night game against the Jets was another indicator showing the lack of trust in this group from Ohio. I believe Ickey Woods might have been the only person with a Bengals ducat sticking out of his pocket.
The point being 25 years ago preseason criteria were maybe 5% of what opening day numbers were. With message boards, talk radio and bloggers, the landscape is different and changing. A balance must be found between when adjusting is warranted and when it’s simply an over reaction.
We post them, but you make the call. This cat and mouse game has been going on since I was a kid hanging out at the Comet Nets in Braddock, Pa. There you could get a magazine, an ice cold coke or a bet down.
It’s still cat and mouse, only the cat is getting older and the mouse bigger. You must change as events change or you won’t last as long as Kim Kardashian’s wedding.
Take care.
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