Poinsettia Bowl (Wed., Dec. 21): A pair of teams with great
passing offenses – but only one plays defense. Louisiana Tech (8-4 SU, 7-3 ATS)
is on a tear, a 7-game win streak that got them a surprise WAC title. They have
a great passing offense for coach Sonny Dykes, averaging 30.6 points and 247
yards passing, 150 rushing, behind freshman QB Nick Isham (8 TDs, 7 INTs) and
junior QB Colby Cameron (11 TDs, 2 INTs, 1,403 yards). They also lost just 35-34
to powerhouse Houston and 19-17 to Southern Miss. The Bulldogs are 7-0 ATS in
their last 7 games.
TCU, even with two losses, came close to earning a
berth to its third-straight BCS bowl. But the Horned Frogs are headed to the
Poinsettia Bowl to face Louisiana Tech, the WAC champion. TCU (10-2 SU/6-5 ATS)
has sophomore QB Casey Paschall (24 TDs, 6 INTs) and a strong ground game behind
junior RB Matthew Tucker (684 yds) and sophomore Waymon James (824 yards, 7.7
ypc), averaging 41.7 points, 210 yards rushing and 233.8 passing. They are 8-3
over the total this season. The Horned Frogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6
non-conference games.
Las Vegas Bowl (Thurs., Dec. 22): Arizona State
(6-6 SU, 4-7 ATS) has a lot of talent on a strong offense that averages 33.9
points and 310 yards passing behind 6-8 junior QB Brock Osweiler (24 TDs, 12
INTs) and 6-foot-4 senior WR Gerell Robinson (1,156 yds). However, they were
huge disappointments, losing their final 4 games that cost Coach Dennis Erickson
his job. The defense is a problem, allowing 26.3 ppg, and they were terrible in
close games, losing 29-28 to UCLA, 17-14 to Illinois and 31-27 to rival Arizona.
Throw in a 47-38 no-show home loss to Cal in the finale and you can see why they
coach was axed. The Sun Devils are on an 18-6 run over the total.
Boise
State (10-1 SU/4-7 ATS) has a super-talented team led by senior QB Kellen Moore
(41 TDs, 7 INTs). The Broncos average 43 points, 183 yards rushing and 297
passing. Moore has a strong offensive line behind senior offensive tackle Nate
Potte. However, the Broncos lost 36-35 at home to TCU, allowing a TD pass with a
minute left. The usually great defense got smoked for 506 yards (473 passing).
Another run to a BCS bowl game, gone. It was Boise State’s first home loss in
nearly six years. The Broncos are 41-17-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Hawaii Bowl (Sat., Dec. 24): The running team against the all-passing
one! Nevada (7-5) is tough to defend with that Pistol/Option attack for Coach
Chris Ault, averaging 32.9 points, 271 yards passing and 251 yards rushing (8th
in the nation) behind redshirt freshman QBs Tyler Lantrip (10 TDs, 6 INTs) and
Cody Fajardo (6 TDs, 5 INTs), both excellent runners. Junior RB Mike Ball (704
yds, 5.2 ypc) and senior RB Mark Lampford (728 yds, 5.6 ypc) have carried the
load in the backfield. The defense allows 25.3 ppg. They lost to Oregon (69-20),
Texas Tech (35-34) and Boise (30-10). The Wolf Pack is 0-4 ATS in their last 4
Bowl games.
Southern Miss (11-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) is off a terrific 49-28
upset of Houston in the Conference USA title game. Coach Larry Fedora runs a
wide-open spread offense he helped run at Oklahoma State. The Golden Eagles
average 37.8 points, 263 yards passing and 207.8 rushing behind senior QB Austin
Davis (28 TDs, 11 INTs, 3,331 yards) plus speedy senior WR Ryan Balentime (742
yds) and freshman RB Jamaal Woodyard (683 yards, 6.4 ypc). The defense is
allowing 21.1 ppg and hasn’t faced many strong offenses. They also held on for a
30-24 victory against Virginia.
Independence Bowl (Mon., Dec. 26):
Missouri (7-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) is playing well on offense behind sophomore QB James
Franklin (20 TDs, 10 INTs), averaging 32 points, 225 yards rushing and 233 yard
passing, though they recently lost dynamic soph RB Henry Joseph (knee, out for
the season). He ran for 1,168 yards, a sizzling 8.1 yards per carry! QB Franklin
is their second leading rusher with 839 yards. This defense was No. 6 in the
country last season allowing 16.1 ppg, but worse this year, especially in the
secondary, allowing 23.5 ppg. Baylor had a 42-39 victory over Missouri with 697
yards (291 rushing). The Under is 9-3 in the Tigers last 12 non-conference
games.
North Carolina (7-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) returned 10 starters on offense,
5 on defense for Everett Withers, the new head coach (former defensive
coordinator). They started fast (5-1) but finished losing 4 of their last 6
games. Sophomore QB Bryn Renner (23 TDs, 12 INTs, 2,769 yards) runs the offense
that has good balance, 28.3 points, 147.4 yards rushing and 249.2 passing. He
has talented sidekicks in freshman RB Giovani Bernard (1,222 yds, 5.4 ypc, 13
TDs) and senior WR Dwight Jones (1,119 yds). The Tar Heels are 19-9 ATS in their
last 28 games as a dog; the under is 9-4 in their last 13 vs. a team with a
winning record.
You can get all of Jim Feist’s FREE NCAAF winners and articles right here at www.aasiwins.com.