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2013 College Football’s Top 21-40 by Jim Feist

It’s time to kick off a new football season. College football begins Thursday, August 29th and here’s a look at the top teams, starting with my top 21-40.

40. BYU: The  Cougars are off an 8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS season and return 8 starters on  offense, 4 on defense. The offense average 28.7 points, 247 yards  passing (50th), 153 yards rushing despite using 3 QBs because  of injuries and ineffectiveness. Those 3 QBs: 25 TDs, 17 INTs.  Dual-threat Sophomore QB Taysom Hill (4 TDs, 2 INTs) was second on the  team in rushing with 336 yards, 6.1 ypc, and is joined by sophomore RB  Jamaal Williams (775) and 6-4 senior WR Cody Hoffman (1,248),  both  leading the team.

The defense has been a force allowing 20 ppg (22nd in the nation) in 2011 and 14 ppg last year (3rd in nation). DE Kyle Van Noy is back after getting 13 sacks on a unit  that ranked second in the nation in rush defense (86.9 yards per game)  and held five opponents to seven points or fewer.  They open at  Virginia, then host Texas in Week 2.

39. Texas Tech: Tommy  Tuberville is out and Kliff Kingsbury takes over. He will keep the Mike  Leach offense he used to run, a unit that averaged 37.5 points, 356  yards passing (second in the nation). Sophomore QB Michael Brewer (375  yds, 4 TDs, no picks) steps in, though true Freshman QB Davis Webb is a  three-star recruit who may challenge. Senior WR Eric Ward (1,053 yds)  bypassed the NFL to come back and 3 of 5 offensive linemen from a unit  that only allowed 19 sacks last season are gone.

The defense  returns 8 starters but was soft allowing 31.ppg DC Matt Wallerstedt is  their fifth coach to give the gig a shot in the last five years.  The  schedule is easy earlier, back to back games against both Oklahoma  schools (Oct. 26, Nov. 2).

38. Fresno State: Coach Tim DeRuyter did a fabulous job during a 9-4 SU, 11-2 ATS  campaign. They had the No. 12 ranked passing attack in the nation  averaging 37.9 points and 325.6 yards in the air and return senior QB  Derek Carr (37 TDs, 7 INTs). They led the Mountain West with 478 yards  per game and have WRs soph Davante Adams (1,312 yds) returning along  with speedy junior  Josh Harper (333) and slot WR Isaiah Burse (851).

8 starters are back on offense and defense. The secondary is  outstanding (Fresno State’s 20 interceptions was the country’s third  best total) but the run defense ranked 75th. They’re  attacking 3-4 scheme allowed 23.8 ppg, a huge upgrade from 2011. The big  showdown will come early, September 20 at home against Boise.

37. Ole Miss: Make or break! The Rebels are off a 7-6 SU, 10-3 ATS campaign and  return 8 starters on offense, 7 on defense, so expectations are high.   Coach Hugh Freeze’s offense average 31.5 points, 250 yards passing and  173.8 yards rushing and returns what could be the best receiving corps  in the SEC.  The offensive line returns four starters for 6-5 junior QB  Bo Wallace (22 TDs, 17 INTs), junior WR Donte Moncrief (979 yards, 10  TDs) and senior RB Jeff Scott (846 yards).

The linebacking  corps is the strength of the Rebels’ defense behind soph Denzel  Nkemdiche. But they allowed 27.6 ppg because of a bad secondary that  allowing 246.5 passing yards, 7th in the SEC.  That explains a  4-0 run over the total into the new season. Don’t look for a hot start,  though: Old Miss opens with 3 of 4 road games: at Vandy, at Texas, at  Bama and at Auburn. And that’s right before hosting Texas A&M and  LSU!

36. Georgia Tech: Paul Johnson’s  run-oriented squad (311 yards rushing per game, No. 4 in the nation)  averaged 33.6 points. Sophomore QB Vad Lee (3 TDs, 1 pick) ran for 544  yards and is joined by junior RB Zack Laskey (697 yds, 5.2 ypc).  With  all that scoring why were they 7-7? The defense was soft (28.3 ppg) so  changes made as DC Ted Roof is aboard. 8 starters are back.

He brings in a 4-3 alignment after Al Groh had tried a 3-4 scheme the previous two years. They are on a 18-12-1 ATS run

35. USC: The Trojans (7-6 SU, 3-10 ATS) were a preseason Top 10 team a year ago, even No. 1, but I had them 19th because of an overrated coach and a suspect defense. That’s where the  program has been hurt the most with the loss of scholarships. The heat  is building on Lane Kiffin but they return 8 starters on offense, 7 on  defense. Sophomore QB Max Wittek (3 TDs, 5 INTs) got his feet wet and  didn’t exactly shine, but has a load of skill position talent including  senior RB Silas Redd (905 yds) and junior WR Marqise Lee (1,721 yds).  The coaching staff was shuffled with Mike Ekeler, Clancy Pendergast and  Tommie Robinson coming aboard. Pendergast is the biggest addition, as he  is charged with getting USC’s defense back on track.

34. Mississippi State:  In the rugged SEC the Bulldogs are 24-15 the last three years, so Dan  Mullen has built a consistent and overachieving program. 6 starters  return on offense, 5 on defense. The offense averaged 29.5 points, 237.8  yards passing, 143.5 rushing and returns seniors QB Tyler Russell (24  TDs 10 INTs) and RB LaDarius Perkins (1,016 yards). The passing game  lost its top targets, but with four offensive linemen back this should  be a strong, balanced attack again. The secondary has new looks so a  deep D-line will be the strength up front, a unit that allowed 23.3 ppg.  They are on a 7-4-1 run under the total.

33. Kansas State: Is  there a better coach than Bill Snyder?  He continues to amaze, off a  11-2 SU, 9-3-1 ATS 2012 season. 8 starters return on offense, but only 3  on defense and they lose star QB Collin Klein. All 5 starters return to  an offensive line that did a great job in pass protection and paved the  way for 194 rushing yards per game. QBs Daniel Sams (55 yards passing,  235 yards rushing, 7.3 ypc) and Jake Waters are back along with RB John  Hubert (947 yds, 5.0 ypc). The defense (22.2 ppg allowed) loses everyone  up front, filled in by a slew of JUCO newcomers. There’s time to figure  out the pieces to the puzzle with North Dakota State,  Louisiana-Lafayette and UMass to start the season, but the Big 12 opener  at Texas comes up fast.

32. Missouri: Moving  to the SEC was no fun for Coach Gary Pinkel last season (5-7), giving  up 59 to A&M, a 41-20 loss to Georgia and a 42-10 home loss to Bama.  The good news is this team returns a lot of offensive talent, 7  starters on offense, 6 on defense. Senior QB James Franklin (10 TDs, 7  INTs) looks for a healthy year and has a deep receiving corps with 6-5  senior Marcus Lucas (509 yards) while 6-4 senior WR L’Damian Washington  (443 yds) averaged 17.7 yards per catch.

4 starters return on  the O-line and senior RB Henry Joseph has had a year to recover from a  serious knee injury (he ran for 1,168 yards, 8.1 ypc in 2011). The  defense allowed 28.4 ppg. Three of the top four returning tacklers,  including EJ Gaines, will play in the defensive backfield, but they are  rebuilding the D-line. Missouri is 48-19 SU, 28-30-1 ATS its last 67  home games.

31. Tennessee: The Vols  are off back-to-back 5-7 seasons.  However, they got the right guy to  run the program in first-year head coach Butch Jones. He’s a demanding,  disciplinarian who did outstanding jobs at Central Michigan and  Cincinnati, following in the footsteps of Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly.

5 starters are back on offense, 7 on defense. QB Justin Worley steps in  after throwing for 134 yards last year on an offense that was 15th in the nation in passing with 315.6 yards per game, as well as 36.2  ppg. They lost their top wide outs, but Jones loves aggressive offenses  and his Cincinnati team average over 200 yards rushing and passing. Both  tailbacks, Rajion Neal and Marlin Lane, return to one of the best  offensive lines in the SEC.  The defense was awful in the secondary but  returns a strong LB corps. Tennessee carries a 10-2 run over the total  into the new season.

30. Washington: The Huskies should have an explosive offense with 10 starters back, led  by senior QB Keith Price (19 TD, 13 INTs), junior RB Bishop Sankey  (1,439 yds) and juniors 6-6 TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins and WR Kasen  Williams (878 yds). A banged up offensive line hurt them in 2012 but  Price has a chance to return to his 2011 form when he had 33 TDs, 11  INTs on an offense that averaged 40 points. The defense made huge strides last year under new defensive coordinator Justin Wilcox, allowing 24.2 ppg (39th in the nation), an improvement of almost 12 points per contest.  A bowl  game is likely, though road trips to Stanford, Arizona State and UCLA  will prevent dreams of a Pac 12 title. They open against Boise, a team  they lost the Las Vegas bowl to, 28-26.

29. Northwestern: The Wildcats were ranked 110th in the nation in passing but won 10 games (10-3 SU, 12-1 ATS). How did  they do that? By doing everything else well, 31.7 points and 225.5 yards  rushing per contest. 8 starters are back on offense, 7 on defense.  Junior QB Trevor Siemian (6 TDs, 3 INTs) returns along with star senior  RB Venric Mark, who ran for 1,366 yards, 6 yards per carry, and senior  QB/RB Kain Colter (894 yards rushing).

Three O-line starters  are gone from a unit that led the Big Ten in sacks allowed and finished  19th nationally in rushing. The secondary struggled (last in the Big Ten  in passing defense) but up front they return All-Big Ten performer  Tyler Scott (9 sacks). They hope the opener doesn’t hurt, a long road  trip at California (August 31), followed by 5 straight home games.

28. Oregon State: The Beavers impressed with a 9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS season and expectations  are strong with 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense. Mike Riley has  a stocked offense with junior QB Sean Mannion (15 TDs, 13 INTs), one  that averaged 32.5 points, 307 yards passing and 124.4 yards rushing.  That passing attack was 19th in the nation and returns junior WR Brandin Cooks (1,151 yards).

Four starters return to the offensive line along with sophomore RB  Storm Woods (940 yards, 13 TDs). Riley did a phenomenal job rebuilding  the defense and they allowed 20.6 ppg. Much of the defense returns,  except up front where they lost three of four starters. Oregon State  gets Stanford and USC at home and is on an 8-3 run over the total.

27. Virginia Tech: The Hokies just made their 20th straight bowl game and made some  changes on offense. Frank Beamer hired former Auburn offensive  coordinator Scott Loeffler to overhaul the offense that slipped in 2012.  6-6 senior QB Logan Thomas (18 TDs, 16 INTs) is back and led the team  in rushing (524 yards) but wasn’t much of a passer completing just  51.2%.

Nine starters are projected to return on a defense that  ranked among the top 32 teams in the nation in total, scoring, rushing  and pass defense led by  LB Jack Tyler, the ACC’s leading returning  tackler.  V-Tech is on a 4-9 ATS run but a stellar 22-10 SU/18-14-1 ATS  on the road the last six years.

26. Michigan State: The Spartans (7-6 SU, 5-8 ATS) were rebuilding last season on offense  but still had a fine year, losing five games by four points or less. 8  starters are back on offense, led by senior QB Andrew Maxwell (13 TDs, 9  INT). They moved the football with a balanced attack but struggled to  find the end zone too often averaging just 20 ppg.

The offense doesn’t have to be explosive because 7 starters return to the Big 10′s best defense, one that allowed 16.3 ppg (9th in the nation). They ranked fourth in the nation in yards allowed and  return senior DT Micajah Reynolds and junior NT James Kittredge to a  powerhouse front. They get Michigan at home with the only tough road  games at Notre Dame and Nebraska. Michigan State is 20-35 ATS its last  55 home games!

25. Arizona State: Here come the Sun Devils!  Coach Todd Graham ignited the offense last  year (38.4 ppg) and has 17 starters returning, so expectations are  high.  Junior QB Taylor Kelly (29 TDs, 9 INTs) had a terrific sophomore  season leading an offense that averaged 259 yards passing, 205.4  rushing. He is joined by senior RB Marion Grice (679 yards) and senior  TE Chris Coyle (696).

The defense (24.3 ppg allowed) led the  nation in tackles for loss and was second in sacks, but the run defense  was poor giving up 183 yards per game. The D-line got a big boost when  star DT Will Sutton opted to return for his senior year, joined by  speedy senior LBs Carl Bradford and Chris Young.  Is this a sleeper  team? They surprised oddsmakers last season going 8-4-1 ATS.  We will  know right away as they face Wisconsin, Stanford, USC and Notre Dame –  all by October 5!

24. Miami: Miami  played 21 freshmen last season, one of the youngest teams in the  country. Coach Al Golden has 9 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.  The offense averaged 31.4 points, 295 yards passing and 144.8 rushing  and returns senior QB Stephen Morris (3,345 yds, 21 TDs, 7 INTs).  He  has plenty of help with sophomore RB Duke Johnson (947 yds, 10 TDs, 6.8  ypc) and junior WR Phillip Dorsett (842 yds).

While the offense  impressed, the defense did not, finishing last in the ACC in both  rushing yards and passing yards allowed per game. Golden hopes  experience makes a difference and this unit was very good at forcing  turnovers. The schedule features Florida (Sept. 7), and tough road games  at South Florida, at UNC, FSU and Pitt.  Miami brings an 8-3-1 ATS run  into the new season.

23. Boise State: The rebuilding Broncos (11-2 SU/6-7 ATS in 2012) did very well and  return their best starters on offense, a unit that averaged 30 points,  223 yards passing and 168 yards rushing. Senior QB Joe Southwick (19 TS,  7 INTs) has sophomore RB Jay Ajayi (548 yards, 6.7 ypc) in the  backfield and junior WR Matt Miller (769 yards).   Boise State ranked  No. 5 in the country in pass defense (169.5 yards per game) and No. 8 in  scoring defense (15.8 points), but loses their two starting  cornerbacks. A dazzling newcomer is JUCO transfer DT Deuce Mataele up  front. Boise State faces seven 2012 bowl teams this season – six of them  in the first eight games. Since 1999, Boise is 88-4 SU, 48-32 ATS at  home!

22. North Carolina: Coach Larry  Fedora was a great hire, a proponent of no-huddle, wide-open attacking  offenses like he ran at Southern Miss. His first season for the Tar  Heels: 40.6 points, 291.8 yards passing, 193.8 yards rushing per game,  ranking 8th in nation in points scored. UNC has 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.

This offense is loaded with senior QB Bryn Renner (28 TDs, 7 INTs,  3,356 yds) and electric 6-4 soph WR Quinshad Davis (776 yds), along with  RB A.J. Blue and junior WR Eric Ebron (625).  The defense returns six  starters, but has plenty of room for improvement following an  up-and-down performance in the new 4-2-5 alignment. They allowed 25.7  ppg and are on 7-3-1 run over the total.

21. Michigan:  The Wolverines found the right man to lead them in Brady Hoke, off  seasons of 11-2 and 8-5. They return five starters on offense and six on  defense from a team that finished 6-2 in the Big Ten. With Denard  Robinson off to the NFL, senior QB Devin Gardner (11 TDs, 5 INTs) gets  the full time nod. There is plenty of experience to assist him in senior  RB Fitz Toussaint is back at tailback and top WR Jeremy Gallon (829  yards).

The defense was very strong again, 19.8 ppg ranked 20th in the nation. They allowed over 32 points in only two games and that  was against Alabama and South Carolina. They avoid the SEC this season  and get rival Ohio State at home, a 26-21 loss last year. Michigan is  16-18 SU/14-20 ATS its last 34 road games.

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Written by Joseph D'Amico on August 20, 2013 at 4:26 pm